SI
Squarespace, Inc. (SQSP)·Q3 2023 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2023 revenue was $257.1M (+18% YoY) with adjusted EBITDA of $66.5M; GAAP diluted EPS was $(0.12). Revenue beat third‑party consensus, while EPS missed amid a larger income tax provision .
- Management raised FY23 guidance to revenue of $1,002–$1,006M and unlevered free cash flow (UFCF) of $232–$236M; Q4 guidance set at revenue of $261–$264M and UFCF of $56–$60M, reflecting continued momentum and Google Domains synergies .
- Presence revenue grew 20% YoY to $179.5M; Commerce revenue grew 15% YoY to $77.6M; KPIs improved with ARPUS +10% YoY to $226.05 and unique subscriptions +5% YoY to 4.4M .
- Gross margin pressure in Q3 stemmed from Google Domains onboarding (upfront registry costs against ratable revenue recognition); management expects normalization over time, with cross‑sell into Squarespace’s suite as the transformative driver .
- Stock catalysts: revenue beat, FY guidance raise above prior ranges, and narrative on payments rollout and domain cross‑sell opportunity .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record quarter with 18% topline growth; adjusted EBITDA rose to $66.5M (≈26% of revenue). CEO: “We are on track to exceed $1 billion in total revenue by the end of 2023.” CFO: “Strong customer demand and retention” drove outperformance .
- Presence revenue +20% YoY; ARPUS +10% YoY to $226.05, supported by pricing and mix shift to higher‑value plans .
- Raised FY23 revenue/UFCF guidance and set Q4 guidance reflecting momentum, payments rollout, and Google Domains go‑to‑market synergies .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP diluted EPS $(0.12) vs external consensus expectations for positive EPS; management cited a larger income tax provision driving GAAP net loss .
- Gross margin compressed sequentially due to Google Domains onboarding costs recognized upfront versus revenue recognized ratably over 12 months .
- Commerce GPV/GMV softness vs estimates; GMV was $1.50B vs two‑analyst average of $1.54B, and ARPUS slightly below two‑analyst average estimates ($226.05 vs ~$229.36) .
Financial Results
Headline P&L and Cash Flow (Quarterly)
Segment Revenue
KPIs
Actuals vs External Consensus (Q3 2023)
Note: Alternative third‑party source showed consensus revenue $252.1M and EPS $0.12 . S&P Global consensus was unavailable due to a mapping error in our CIQ integration; therefore, we relied on public third‑party sources.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We are on track to exceed $1 billion in total revenue by the end of 2023, a significant milestone… Squarespace Refresh 2023… marks one of the strongest years of product releases in our history” .
- CFO: “We delivered another record quarter with 18% topline growth, exceeding our revenue and unlevered free cash flow expectations, achievements fueled by strong customer demand and retention” .
- CFO on Google Domains margin impact: onboarding new domains recognizes registry costs upfront while revenue is ratable, causing temporary gross margin impact; margins expected to normalize; cross‑sell is the transformative opportunity .
Q&A Highlights
- Gross margin dynamics: sequential dip (~380bps referenced by analyst) tied to domain registry cost timing vs ratable revenue recognition; normalization anticipated over time .
- Product packaging/pricing: management plans to simplify and verticalize packaging around personas to better surface specialized functionality; payments rollout underway (single‑digit % of U.S. customers) .
- Google Domains overlap: substantial portion of ~10M acquired domains are not overlapped with existing Squarespace subs, supporting net new cross‑sell potential .
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: Actual $257.1M vs Seeking Alpha consensus $251.9M; Zacks reported $252.1M consensus; implies ~$5.0–$5.1M beat .
- EPS miss: GAAP diluted EPS $(0.12) vs third‑party consensus ranging $0.12–$0.29; miss driven by higher income tax provision per company .
- S&P Global consensus was unavailable due to a CIQ mapping error; results above rely on external public sources.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue momentum and raised FY guidance signal durable growth; presence segment strength and ARPUS gains support mix and pricing power .
- Near‑term gross margin headwind from Google Domains onboarding is mechanical; focus should be on medium‑term cross‑sell opportunity and payments attach to acquired domain cohorts .
- Adjusted EBITDA and UFCF remain robust despite GAAP EPS volatility tied to taxes, underlining cash generation capacity into Q4 and FY23 .
- Commerce KPIs (GMV) were softer vs estimates; monitor payments rollout pace and commerce packaging in 2024 for inflection .
- Narrative catalysts: “Refresh 2023” product year, payments rollout, international expansion, and Google Domains synergies—all underpinning FY guidance raise and potential estimate revisions higher on revenue/UFCF .
- Secondary offering (Nov 15) by a selling stockholder increased float; no primary proceeds to the company—neutral to cash but relevant for trading dynamics and supply .
Additional sources used for trend and transcript references: Q2 press release (Aug 8) ; Q1 press release (May 9) ; Q3 transcript excerpts .